How much of the build can AI actually do?
More than most scopes assume — and less than the hype claims. In 2025, Microsoft’s CEO said up to 30% of the company’s code was AI-written (varying by language), and Google reported the share of new code generated by AI climbing steadily through the year. A widely-cited rule of thumb, the “70% problem,” captures the shape: AI gets you about 70% of the way fast, then the last 30% turns hard.
That framing is what should drive a scope. The 70% AI does well — scaffolding, boilerplate, standard patterns — barely needs specifying; it’ll get generated either way. The 30% it does badly — architecture, security, integration, edge cases — is precisely where a vague scope turns into rework. So scope inverts: spend your effort defining the hard 30%, not documenting the easy 70%.
